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Vistra (VST) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

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For the quarter ended March 2026, Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) reported revenue of $5.64 billion, up 43.4% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $2.87, compared to $0.46 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue represents a surprise of +3.54% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.45 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $2.21, the EPS surprise was +29.63%.

While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.

As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately.

Here is how Vistra performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Total retail electricity sales volumes: 30,109.00 GWh versus the two-analyst average estimate of 34,079.29 GWh.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Retail: $68 million compared to the $103.81 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- West: $56 million versus $63.53 million estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- East: $801 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $767.91 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Texas: $586 million versus $535.52 million estimated by two analysts on average.

View all Key Company Metrics for Vistra here>>>

Shares of Vistra have returned +0.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

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